| name | price-the-cap-rate-spread |
| description | Frame a cap rate as a risk premium over the 10-yr Treasury, not an absolute level, so a 'compression' is read correctly. Reach for this whenever a cap rate enters a memo. |
Skill: Price the cap-rate-vs-Treasury spread
A cap rate alone hides whether you're being paid for risk. This frames it as a spread and puts the historical percentile in the memo.
Step 1 — Compute the spread
Cap rate minus the current 10-yr Treasury yield — the risk premium you're actually buying (§3 #3).
Step 2 — Place it historically
Compare the spread to its long-run range; a thin spread (e.g. ~172 bps, 24th percentile in Q3 2025) means little risk compensation.
Step 3 — Decompose a move
When the cap rate moves, attribute it to the rate leg vs the premium leg — they have opposite implications.
Step 4 — Carry the date
Every cap-rate and Treasury figure gets a retrieval date; these move quarterly (§3 #8).
Output
A spread, its historical percentile, an attribution of any move, and the dated sources.