scenario-construction

name	scenario-construction
description	Construct distinct future scenarios spanning key uncertainties for portfolio stress testing.
execution	subagent
prompt	./prompt.md
input	context, uncertainties
dependencies	{"sops":["spawn-agent"]}

Scenario Construction

Build a set of distinct, plausible future scenarios that span the key uncertainties relevant to portfolio performance.

Execution

Spawns a subagent that identifies key uncertainties and constructs diverse scenarios for stress testing.

Why Subagent

Scenario construction requires creative yet disciplined thinking to produce scenarios that are distinct, plausible, and collectively span the uncertainty space. This generative-analytical work benefits from focused attention.

HARD-GATE

Output must contain at least 3 distinct scenarios that span different combinations of key uncertainties. Each scenario must include a narrative, key assumptions, and probability estimate.

Available SOPs

Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.

SOP	When to use
spawn-agent	Spawn a customized CC subagent with full MCP tool access. Used by SOPs that declare execution: subagent.