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threat-profile

Threat actor profiling for adversary emulation — APT group research, sophistication tiers, MITRE ATT&CK mapping, initial access vectors, custom archetypes.

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BitterSecurity/Decepticon
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2026년 6월 8일 07:58
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threat-profile
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Threat actor profiling for adversary emulation — APT group research, sophistication tiers, MITRE ATT&CK mapping, initial access vectors, custom archetypes.
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{"subdomain":"planning","when_to_use":"threat modeling, adversary emulation, APT simulation, threat actor selection, who should we emulate, what kind of attacker","tags":"threat-modeling, apt, adversary-emulation, mitre-attack","upstream_ref":"Soundwave engagement-planning template — threat actor profiling for adversary emulation"}
# Threat Profile Builder Threat profiling defines **who** the red team is emulating. Without a clear profile, the engagement devolves into arbitrary tool usage instead of realistic adversary simulation. ## When to Use - During CONOPS creation when selecting a threat actor - User asks about threat actors, APT groups, or adversary emulation - Need to map engagement scope to realistic attacker behaviors ## Workflow ### Step 1: Determine Tier Ask the user which tier fits. If they're unsure, recommend based on engagement type: | Tier | Actor Type | Sophistication | Best For | |------|-----------|---------------|----------| | 1 | Opportunistic attacker | Low | Vulnerability assessment, external scan | | 2 | Targeted cybercriminal | Medium | Penetration test, focused engagement | | 3 | APT / nation-state | High | Full red team, advanced simulation | | 4 | Insider threat | Varies | Internal assessment, assumed breach | ### Step 2: Build the Profile Gather or derive these fields — see `references/adversary-archetypes.md` for pre-built tier profiles and `references/apt-groups.md` for known APT/eCrime group cards (now 19 actors + a MITRE Group-ID crosswalk). For a **named actor**, load the matching emulation playbook (`emulation/<actor>/SKILL.md`, indexed by `emulation/SKILL.md`) — it ships a ready-to-edit `ThreatProfile` seed **and** the full kill chain mapped to Decepticon skills: 1. **Name/Alias** — Known group or custom archetype 2. **Sophistication** — low / medium / high / nation-state 3. **Motivation** — financial, espionage, disruption, hacktivism 4. **Initial Access** — MITRE technique IDs for how they get in 5. **Key TTPs** — Top 5-10 MITRE ATT&CK techniques 6. **Tools & Infrastructure** — Realistic toolset for this actor ### Step 3: Validate Against RoE The profile must be consistent with what the RoE allows. There's no point emulating spearphishing if social engineering isn't authorized. | RoE Constraint | Profile Implication | |---|---| | External only, no social engineering | Focus on T1190, T1595, T1133 | | Phishing authorized | Include T1566, T1598 | | Internal assumed breach | Start from T1078 (Valid Accounts) | | Full red team | Full kill chain TTPs | ### Step 4: Output Generate **two** payloads: **(a) Standalone `plan/threat-profile.json`** — full `ThreatProfile` schema: ```json { "engagement_name": "...", "actor_name": "APT29-like (Cozy Bear)", "actor_aliases": ["Cozy Bear", "The Dukes"], "group_id": "G0050", "tier": "tier-3", "sophistication": "nation-state", "motivation": "espionage", "initial_access": ["T1195.002", "T1566.001", "T1078"], "key_ttps": ["T1059.001", "T1053.005", "T1071.001", "T1048.003", "T1550.001"], "tools": ["Cobalt Strike", "Mimikatz", "WMI Event Subscription"], "infrastructure": ["Compromised SaaS", "Domain fronting via CDN"], "recent_cti_delta": "Q1 2026 reports show shift toward OAuth abuse and CI/CD supply-chain", "confidence": "probable" } ``` `tier` is the StrEnum value: `"tier-1"` (opportunistic), `"tier-2"` (targeted cybercrime), `"tier-3"` (APT / nation-state), `"tier-4"` (insider). Map to `sophistication` informally — `tier-3` ↔ "nation-state", `tier-2` ↔ "high", `tier-1` ↔ "low/medium". **(b) Embedded summary** — one-entry `threat_actors` list inside `conops.json` for backward-compat (the legacy `ThreatActor` shape: `name` + `sophistication` + `motivation` + `initial_access` + `ttps`). Skip `tier`/`group_id`/`tools`/`infrastructure` here — those live only in the standalone profile. ### Step 5: Named-actor kill chain (optional but recommended) When the operator picked a known actor, don't hand-build the TTP sequence — load the emulation catalog and copy the per-actor plan: ```text load_skill("/skills/standard/soundwave/threat-profile/emulation/SKILL.md") # routing table load_skill("/skills/standard/soundwave/threat-profile/emulation/apt29/SKILL.md") # e.g. APT29 ``` Each playbook gives you (a) the `ThreatProfile` seed for `plan/threat-profile.json`, (b) the ordered `kill_chain` to copy into `conops.json` (mapped to the 5 `ObjectivePhase` buckets), and (c) the actor-specific RoE/safety gates to carry into `abort.json` + `deconfliction.json`. Prune any technique the RoE forbids (Step 3) before writing. Available: `apt29`, `sandworm`, `scattered-spider`, `volt-typhoon`, `lazarus`, `fin7`, `lockbit`.
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