analyze-gold

# Analyze Gold — Combination Command Pre-configured wrapper around `pair-analyze` for **XAUUSD** with gold-specific calibration. Pick this when the user says "analyze gold" or "gold setup" so defaults match how gold actually trades. ## Invocation ```text /tradecraft:analyze-gold [TIMEFRAME] [MODE] # Examples /tradecraft:analyze-gold # defaults: H1, standard /tradecraft:analyze-gold H4 conservative /tradecraft:analyze-gold M15 scalp /tradecraft:analyze-gold D1 swing ``` Arguments are exposed via `$ARGUMENTS`. Symbol is locked to `XAUUSD`. ## What This Wrapper Does 1. Binds symbol = `XAUUSD` (also accepts broker variants: `XAUUSDm`, `GOLD`, `XAU/USD` — normalize before dispatch). 2. Applies **gold-specific overrides** (see below). 3. Delegates to the `pair-analyze` pipeline. 4. Returns the same JSON output contract as `pair-analyze`, plus a `gold_context` block. ## Gold-Specific Calibration | Aspect | Override vs. generic `pair-analyze` | |---|---| | Pip / point | 0.01 USD per unit — price quoted to 2 decimals | | Typical spread | 0.15 – 0.40 on ECN; 0.25 – 0.60 on standard | | Active sessions | London open → US close (08:00 – 21:00 UTC) | | Dead zone | Asian session outside the Tokyo/London overlap (~06:00 – 09:00 UTC) | | Volatility reference | H1 ATR(14) typically 3–12 pts; >20 = elevated | | SL minimum | Max(structure-based, 1.0 × H1 ATR, 2.5 pts) — gold wicks hunt tight stops | | High-impact drivers | FOMC, NFP, CPI, PPI, DXY moves, real yields, geopolitical risk | | News gate buffer | 30 min before / 60 min after red-folder USD events | | Correlation to monitor | DXY (inverse), US10Y real yield (inverse), SPX (weak positive in risk-on) | ## Mode Defaults Adjusted for Gold | Mode | Per-trade risk | Min R:R | Notes | |---|---:|---:|---| | conservative | 0.5% | 3.0 | H4/D1 only; avoid during NY lunch | | standard | 1.0% | 2.0 | H1/H4; skip the first 15 min after London open | | aggressive | 1.5% | 1.5 | H1 only; never during CPI/FOMC week | | scalp | 0.5% | 1.5 | M5/M15; London and NY overlap only | | swing | 1.0% | 3.0 | H4/D1; align with weekly bias | ## Worked Example: XAUUSD H1 standard Assume current price = 2345.00, London session, no red news next 2h. 1. **Regime** — H4 trend-up (HH/HL intact), H1 pullback into demand. 2. **News gate** — clear until US PMI at 15:00 UTC. 3. **Structure** — H1 bullish order block 2340–2343, BOS at 2348 confirms bullish intent. 4. **Liquidity** — equal lows at 2341 swept during Asian session (1-candle wick); next upside pool 2365. 5. **Entry refinement** — 50% of OB → entry 2341.50; rejection candle required. 6. **Risk** — SL 2338.00 (3.5 pts, above 1×ATR minimum); $10k account × 1% = $100; lots = 0.28. 7. **Plan** — long 2341.50, SL 2338.00, TP1 2348.50 (2R), TP2 2355.00 (3.8R), grade B, confidence 0.68. ```json { "symbol": "XAUUSD", "timeframe": "H1", "mode": "standard", "regime": "trend-up-h4-pullback-h1", "bias": "long", "setup_grade": "B", "confluence": ["H4 trend-up", "H1 bullish order block", "Asian sweep of equal lows"], "entry": 2341.50, "stop_loss": 2338.00, "take_profit_1": 2348.50, "take_profit_2": 2355.00, "risk_reward": 2.0, "position_size": {"lots": 0.28, "risk_pct": 1.0, "usd_per_point_per_lot": 100.0}, "invalidation": "H1 close below 2338.00", "news_gate": {"clear_until": "15:00 UTC", "next_event": "US PMI"}, "gold_context": { "atr_h1": 8.5, "dxy_bias": "weakening", "session": "London", "spread": 0.25 }, "confidence": 0.68, "notes": "Long at 50% retrace of H1 OB after liquidity sweep; exit TP1 before US PMI" } ``` ## Skip Conditions (gold-specific) Do NOT emit a trade plan when: - DXY is breaking a major level in the same direction as a gold short/long signal (decorrelation risk) - Within 30 min before or 60 min after CPI, NFP, FOMC, or Fed Chair testimony - Spread > 1.0 at the candidate entry time (suggests thin liquidity — common during rollover 22:00 UTC) - H1 ATR > 20 (regime = high-vol; switch to larger SL or stand aside) ## Validation Checklist - [ ] Symbol normalized to `XAUUSD` - [ ] SL ≥ max(structure, 1×ATR, 2.5 pts) - [ ] News gate checked for USD red-folder events - [ ] DXY correlation not opposing the signal - [ ] Session is London or NY (or London-NY overlap for scalp) ## See Also - `pair-analyze` — the underlying generic combination - `analyze-us30` — sister wrapper for the Dow index - `gold-orb-ea` — opening-range breakout strategy specific to gold - `xtrading-analyze` — full multi-agent scan (broader scope than this wrapper)