| name | powerbi-self-healing-forecast-governance |
| description | Use when Power BI forecast governance should automatically demote biased models, choose safer baselines, trigger data-quality blockers, adjust trust status, and protect planning from low-quality autonomous recommendations. |
Power BI Self-Healing Forecast Governance
Use this skill when the planning engine must know when not to trust itself.
Trust states
trusted: model can drive planning.
challenge: model can challenge roll or budget but needs review.
advisory_only: model is informative but should not replace baseline.
blocked: data or quality issue prevents autonomous recommendation.
needs_snapshot_data: historical as-of state is missing.
biased: backtest bias exceeds tolerance.
Workflow
- Read quality metrics by horizon and segment.
- Compare AI WAPE and bias against roll forecast and accepted tolerances.
- Assign trust state by horizon, segment, customer, and product where possible.
- Route planning:
- trusted: use AI as primary input
- challenge: show AI and baseline side by side
- advisory_only: annotate only
- blocked: require data fix or human review
- Emit governance events so later runs can learn from demotions.
Required outputs
forecast_month
horizon_months
segment
ai_wape
baseline_wape
bias
trust_state
governance_action
reason
Guardrails
- Do not improve apparent accuracy by hiding hard segments.
- Prefer a safer baseline when AI is worse than roll forecast.