llmquant-prediction-markets

Router skill for LLMQuant prediction-market workflows. Use when the user needs event odds, settlement criteria, probability gaps, cross-market pricing, or prediction-market arbitrage review.

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Repositório: LLMQuant/skills
Última atividade na origem: 30 de maio de 2026 às 13:53
Idioma detectado do SKILL.md: inglês
Estrelas: 208
Forks: 26

Opções de instalação

Por padrão, está selecionado o prompt que primeiro revisa a origem. Você pode mudar para um comando direto ou baixar uma cópia local.

Instalar com Codex ou Claude Copie este prompt, cole no Codex, Claude ou outro assistente e deixe que ele revise a página da skill e instale para você.

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npx skills add https://github.com/LLMQuant/skills --skill llmquant-prediction-markets

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Prefere uma cópia local? Baixe os arquivos disponíveis atualmente no SkillsMP.

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SKILL.md

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llmquant-commodities

Router skill for LLMQuant commodities workflows. Use when the user needs commodity spot, futures curve, inventory, roll yield, or macro linkage analysis.

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llmquant-credit

Router skill for LLMQuant credit workflows. Use when the user needs issuer credit review, spread regime analysis, high-yield stress monitoring, default risk, debt maturity, or covenant context.

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llmquant-crypto

Router skill for LLMQuant crypto workflows. Use when the user needs crypto market regime analysis, token research, perpetual funding, basis, leverage, liquidity, or cross-asset crypto context.

2026-05-30

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LLMQuant Prediction Markets

This category routes event-probability workflows for prediction markets, options-implied probabilities, and tradable event risk.

Routing Rules

Identify the event, venue, contract, settlement rule, deadline, related assets, and requested output.

Select the closest workflow below.

Open only that workflow and any referenced local resources.

Use LLMQuant Data for prediction-market contracts, prices, liquidity, options, macro, news, and related asset prices.

Report contract timestamps, settlement criteria, liquidity, fees, market windows, and missing inputs.

Workflow Index

User intent

Workflow

Produce an event probability research brief from market odds and evidence.

workflows/event-probability-brief.md

Check prediction-market cross-venue or contract-level arbitrage conditions.

workflows/prediction-market-arb-watch.md

Compare prediction-market odds with options-implied or asset-implied event pricing.

workflows/probability-vs-options-pricing.md

LLMQuant Data Contract

Prefer LLMQuant Data when available. The workflows may need these data capabilities:

Retrieve event contracts, settlement criteria, market odds, order-book depth, volume, fees, and close dates.

Retrieve related news, macro releases, asset prices, and issuer or sector context.

Retrieve options-implied probabilities, volatility, skew, and event-window pricing when available.

Compare venues, contracts, and outcome sets while preserving timestamp and settlement-rule differences.

Fallback:

If market data or settlement rules are unavailable, do not infer arbitrage or fair probability.

If only user-provided odds are available, label the evidence as user supplied.

name	llmquant-prediction-markets
description	Router skill for LLMQuant prediction-market workflows. Use when the user needs event odds, settlement criteria, probability gaps, cross-market pricing, or prediction-market arbitrage review.
input_data_source	LLMQuant Data
category	prediction-markets