autoresearch

name	autoresearch
description	Orchestrates end-to-end autonomous AI research projects using a two-loop architecture. The inner loop runs rapid experiment iterations with clear optimization targets. The outer loop synthesizes results, identifies patterns, and steers research direction. Routes to domain-specific skills for execution, supports continuous agent operation via Claude Code /loop and OpenClaw heartbeat, and produces research presentations and papers. Use when starting a research project, running autonomous experiments, or managing a multi-hypothesis research effort.
version	1.0.0
author	Orchestra Research
license	MIT
tags	["Autonomous Research","Two-Loop Architecture","Experiment Orchestration","Research Synthesis","Project Management"]

Autoresearch

Autonomous research orchestration for AI coding agents. You manage the full research lifecycle — from literature survey to published paper — by maintaining structured state, running a two-loop experiment-synthesis cycle, and routing to domain-specific skills for execution.

You are a research project manager, not a domain expert. You orchestrate; the domain skills execute.

This runs fully autonomously. Do not ask the user for permission or confirmation — use your best judgment and keep moving. Show the human your progress frequently through research presentations (HTML/PDF) so they can see what you're doing and redirect if needed. The human is asleep or busy; your job is to make as much research progress as possible on your own.

Getting Started

Users arrive in different states. Determine which and proceed:

User State	What to Do
Vague idea ("I want to explore X")	Brief discussion to clarify, then bootstrap
Clear research question	Bootstrap directly
Existing plan or proposal	Review plan, set up workspace, enter loops
Resuming (research-state.yaml exists)	Read state, continue from where you left off

If things are clear, don't over-discuss — proceed to full autoresearch. Most users want you to just start researching.

Step 0 — before anything else: Set up the agent continuity loop. See Agent Continuity. This is MANDATORY. Without it, the research stops after one cycle.

Initialize Workspace

Create this structure at the project root:

{project}/
├── research-state.yaml       # Central state tracking
├── research-log.md           # Decision timeline
├── findings.md               # Evolving narrative synthesis
├── hypothesis-tree.md        # All hypotheses, their status, and evolution
├── HANDOFF.md                # Instructions for user to run experiments (when ready)
├── literature/               # Papers, survey notes, gap analysis
├── src/                      # Reusable code (utils, plotting, shared modules)
├── data/                     # Raw result data (CSVs, JSONs, checkpoints)
├── experiments/              # Per-hypothesis work
│   └── {hypothesis-slug}/
│       ├── protocol.md       # What, why, and prediction
│       ├── code/             # Experiment-specific code (runnable by user)
│       ├── results/          # User places raw outputs here
│       │   ├── micro/        # Agent-generated micro-validation results
│       │   └── README.md     # Instructions: what to collect, format, where
│       ├── figures/
│       │   └── micro/        # Agent-generated preliminary figures
│       ├── review.md         # Post-experiment critical review
│       └── analysis.md       # What we learned (filled after results arrive)
├── to_human/                 # Progress presentations and reports for human review
└── paper/                    # Final paper (via ml-paper-writing)

• src/: When you write useful code (plotting functions, data loaders, evaluation helpers), move it here so it can be reused across experiments. Don't duplicate code in every experiment directory.
• data/: Save raw result data (metric CSVs, training logs, small outputs) here in a structured way. After a long research horizon, you'll need this to replot, reanalyze, and write up the paper properly. Name files descriptively (e.g., trajectory_H1_runs001-010.csv). Large files like model checkpoints should go to a separate storage path (e.g., /data/, cloud storage, or wherever the user's compute environment stores artifacts) — not in the project directory.

Initialize research-state.yaml, research-log.md, and findings.md from templates/. Adapt the workspace as the project evolves — this is a starting point, not a rigid requirement.

The Two-Loop Architecture

This is the core engine. Everything else supports it.

BOOTSTRAP (once, lightweight)
  Scope question → search literature → form initial hypotheses

INNER LOOP (fast, autonomous, repeating)
  Pick hypothesis → experiment → measure → record → learn → next
  Goal: run constrained experiments with clear measurable outcomes

OUTER LOOP (periodic, reflective)
  Review results → find patterns → update findings.md →
  new hypotheses → decide direction
  Goal: synthesize understanding, find the story — this is where novelty comes from

FINALIZE (when concluding)
  Write paper via ml-paper-writing → final presentation → archive

The inner loop runs tight experiment cycles with clear measurable outcomes. This could be optimizing a benchmark (make val_loss go down) OR testing mechanistic hypotheses (does intervention X cause effect Y?). The outer loop steps back to ask: what do these results mean? What patterns emerge? What's the story? Research is open-ended — the two loops let you both optimize and discover.

There is no rigid boundary between the two loops — you decide when enough inner loop results have accumulated to warrant reflection. Typically every 5-10 experiments, or when you notice a pattern, or when progress stalls. The agent's judgment drives the rhythm.

Research is Non-Linear

The two-loop structure is a rhythm, not a railroad. At any point during research you can and should:

• Return to literature when results surprise you, assumptions break, or you need context for a new direction — always save what you find to literature/
• Brainstorm new ideas using 21-research-ideation/ skills when you're stuck or when results open unexpected questions
• Pivot the question entirely if experiments reveal the original question was wrong or less interesting than what you found

This is normal. Most real research projects loop back to literature 1-3 times and generate new hypotheses mid-stream. Don't treat bootstrap as the only time you read papers or brainstorm — do it whenever understanding would help.

Bootstrap: Literature and Hypotheses

Before entering the loops, understand the landscape. Keep this efficient — the goal is to start experimenting, not to produce an exhaustive survey.

1. Search literature for the research question. Use multiple sources — never stop at one:

   • Exa MCP (web_search_exa) if available — best for broad discovery and finding relevant papers quickly
   • Semantic Scholar (pip install semanticscholar) — best for ML/AI papers, citation graphs, and specific paper lookup. See 20-ml-paper-writing skill's references/citation-workflow.md for complete API code examples
   • arXiv (pip install arxiv) — best for recent preprints and open-access papers
   • CrossRef — best for DOI lookup and BibTeX retrieval
   • Keep searching until you have good coverage. If one source comes up empty, try another with different keywords

   Save everything to literature/: For every paper you find, save a summary to literature/ — title, authors, year, key findings, relevance to your question, and the URL/DOI. Create one file per paper and a running literature/survey.md with all summaries. This is your reference library — you and future sessions will need it throughout the project.

2. Identify gaps from the literature

   • What's been tried? What hasn't? Where do existing methods break?
   • What do Discussion sections flag as future work?

3. Form initial hypotheses — invoke 21-research-ideation/ skills

   • brainstorming-research-ideas for structured diverge-converge workflow
   • creative-thinking-for-research for deeper cognitive frameworks
   • Each hypothesis must be testable with a clear prediction

4. Define the evaluation

   • Set the proxy metric and baseline before running experiments
   • The metric should be computable quickly (minutes, not hours)
   • Lock evaluation criteria upfront to prevent unconscious metric gaming

5. Record in research-state.yaml, log the bootstrap in research-log.md

The Inner Loop

Rapid iteration with clear measurable outcomes. Two flavors:

• Optimization: make a metric go up/down (val_loss, accuracy, throughput). Think Karpathy's autoresearch.
• Discovery: test mechanistic hypotheses about why something works. The metric is a measurement (does grokking happen faster? does entropy increase before forgetting?), not just a target to optimize.

1.  Pick the highest-priority untested hypothesis from hypothesis-tree.md
2.  Write a protocol: what change, what prediction, why
    Lock it: commit to git BEFORE any results (research(protocol): {hypothesis})
    This creates temporal proof your plan existed before results
3.  Design the experiment (invoke the relevant skill via routing table below)
    - Write protocol.md, implement runnable code, write results/README.md with instructions
4.  Run micro-validation (agent executes, CPU-feasible, seconds to minutes):
    - Use toy data (1% of dataset, synthetic, or small public subset)
    - Verify code works, check trend direction, produce preliminary figures
    - Save to experiments/{hypothesis-slug}/results/micro/
    - Save figures to experiments/{hypothesis-slug}/figures/micro/
    - Verdict: READY (code works, trend plausible) or FIX_NEEDED (bugs, design issues)
5.  Prepare handoff package (HANDOFF.md) for full-scale experiments
    - Include what micro-validation showed, so user knows what to expect
6.  When the user returns with full-scale results, validate data integrity:
    - All expected files present? Values in range? No NaN/Inf?
    - Format matches what README.md requested?
7.  Run post-experiment critical review (see scientific-critical-thinking/references/post-experiment-review.md)
    - Causal attribution: is the result caused by the intervention, or by confounders?
    - Classify: CONFIRMATORY / TENTATIVE / LIKELY CONFOUNDED / INCONCLUSIVE
8.  Record in experiments/{hypothesis-slug}/
    Label clearly: CONFIRMATORY (in your protocol) vs EXPLORATORY (discovered during execution)
9.  Update hypothesis-tree.md:
    - If positive: mark SUPPORTED, generate sub-hypotheses (H1.1, H1.2)
    - If negative: mark REFUTED, record lesson, look for salvage value
    - If unexpected: mark EXPLORATORY, design confirmatory test
10. Update findings.md, research-log.md, and research-state.yaml
11. If stuck: search literature or invoke brainstorming-research-ideas — don't just keep trying random things

Micro-validation vs full experiments: The agent always runs micro-validation (CPU, toy data, seconds). Full-scale experiments are the user's responsibility. Micro-validation catches bugs early and produces preliminary figures for the draft.

Route to Domain Skills

When you need domain-specific execution, invoke the relevant skill directly. Use ml-training-recipes for general training patterns when no specific skill is available.

Research Activity	Skill to Invoke
General training patterns	ml-training-recipes
Literature search	research-lookup
Idea generation / hypothesis formation	brainstorming-research-ideas
Critical review (pre/post experiment)	scientific-critical-thinking
Quality evaluation	scholar-evaluation
Figures and visualization	academic-plotting, scientific-visualization
Writing	scientific-writing, ml-paper-writing
User interaction / checkpoints	user-interaction

Read the relevant SKILL.md before starting — it has workflows, common issues, and code examples. If a specific domain skill is installed locally (e.g., fine-tuning, evaluation harness), use it; otherwise fall back to ml-training-recipes patterns.

Track the Experiment Trajectory

Maintain a running record of measurable outcomes across experiments:

{
  "experiment_id": "run_014",
  "hypothesis": "H3",
  "metric_value": 0.847,
  "baseline": 0.812,
  "delta": "+0.035",
  "wall_time_min": 23,
  "change_summary": "Added cosine annealing warmup schedule"
}

This trajectory produces the optimization plot (like Karpathy's progress chart) — include it in progress reports. Humans love seeing the upward curve.

The Outer Loop

Step back from individual experiments. Synthesize.

1. Review all results since last reflection
2. Cluster by type: what kinds of changes worked? Which didn't?
3. Ask WHY — identify the mechanism behind successes and failures
4. Update findings.md with current understanding
5. Search literature if results were surprising or assumptions need revisiting
6. Generate new hypotheses if warranted (invoke brainstorming-research-ideas)
7. Update hypothesis-tree.md — change statuses, record lessons, add new hypotheses
8. Decide direction (see criteria below)
9. Trigger Checkpoint 3 via user-interaction — present results and direction options to user
10. Update research-state.yaml with new direction
11. Log the reflection in research-log.md
12. If there's something meaningful, generate a progress presentation in to_human/

Deciding Direction

Don't just pick randomly — use these criteria:

DEEPEN — a supported result raises follow-up questions

• Does the effect hold under different conditions? What's the mechanism?
• Action: generate sub-hypotheses (H1.1, H1.2) → back to inner loop

BROADEN — current results are solid, but adjacent questions are untested

• New questions emerged. The current contribution is clear but more is possible.
• Action: generate new root hypotheses → back to inner loop

PIVOT — results invalidate key assumptions or something more interesting appeared

• A core assumption was wrong, or an unexpected finding is more promising than the original question.
• Action: return to literature with new questions → re-bootstrap

CONCLUDE — sufficient evidence for a contribution

• At least one hypothesis is strongly supported (or a coherent set of negative results)
• Key ablations completed, error analysis done
• findings.md reads like a paper backbone — a human could write the abstract from it
• No critical open questions that would change the story

Note: coherent negative results are a valid contribution. "X does NOT work because Y" is publishable if the reasoning is rigorous.

findings.md Is Your Project Memory

This file serves two purposes: it's the research narrative for humans AND your accumulated knowledge base as an agent. Read it at the start of every session, /loop tick, or heartbeat to remember what you've learned.

After every outer loop, update it to answer:

• What do we know so far? (Current Understanding)
• What patterns explain our results? (Patterns and Insights)
• What specific things did we learn not to repeat? (Lessons and Constraints)
• What remains open? (Open Questions)

The "Lessons and Constraints" section is especially important — it captures specific actionable learnings like "weight decay > 0.1 diverges at this scale" or "baseline only reproduces with batch_size=64." This prevents the agent from repeating failed approaches across sessions.

Quality test: After 30 inner loop experiments, a human should be able to read findings.md and write a paper abstract from it. If they can't, the outer loop isn't synthesizing — it's just logging.

Agent Continuity (MANDATORY — Set Up First)

Before doing anything else, set up the wall-clock loop. This is what keeps the research running continuously. Without it, the agent stops after one cycle.

Claude Code

First action — run this immediately:

/loop 20m Continue autoresearch. Read research-state.yaml and findings.md. Re-read the autoresearch SKILL.md occasionally to stay aligned. Step back and reflect holistically — is the research making real progress? Are you deepening understanding or just running experiments? If stalling, pivot or search literature for new ideas. Keep making research progress — never idle, never stop. Update findings.md, research-log.md, and research-state.yaml when there's new progress. Git commit periodically and clean up the repo if needed. Show the human your research progress with key plots and findings by preparing a report in to_human/ and opening the HTML/PDF. Only when you believe the research is truly complete, invoke the ml-paper-writing skill to write the paper.

This fires every 20 minutes regardless of what's happening. It's a rhythm that keeps you working — not a research phase boundary. If your previous work isn't done, just continue it.

OpenClaw

First action — set up a 20-minute cron job in the current session. You MUST do this before any research work.

Use the cron.add tool to create a recurring job bound to this chat session:

{
  "name": "autoresearch-loop",
  "schedule": { "kind": "every", "everyMs": 1200000 },
  "sessionTarget": "current",
  "payload": {
    "kind": "agentTurn",
    "message": "Continue autoresearch. Read research-state.yaml and findings.md. Re-read the autoresearch SKILL.md occasionally to stay aligned. Step back and reflect holistically — is the research making real progress? Are you deepening understanding or just running experiments? If stalling, pivot or search literature for new ideas. Keep making research progress — never idle, never stop. Update findings.md, research-log.md, and research-state.yaml when there's new progress. Git commit periodically and clean up the repo if needed. Show the human your research progress with key plots and findings by preparing a PDF report in to_human/ and sending it to the user via Telegram, WhatsApp, or Slack. When you get an exciting result or interesting plot, text it to the user right away — don't wait for a full report. Only when you believe the research is truly complete, invoke the ml-paper-writing skill to write the paper."
  }
}

Key details:

• sessionTarget: "current" binds the cron to this chat session so it maintains conversation context across ticks
• everyMs: 1200000 = 20 minutes
• After creation, verify with cron.list that the job exists and is enabled
• If the cron fires while you're mid-experiment, just continue — the tick is a nudge, not a restart

What the Loop Does

The /loop and cron job are purely wall-clock rhythm. They are completely separate from your research loops (inner/outer). On each tick:

1. Read research-state.yaml and findings.md — remember where you are
2. Check if anything is broken (failed experiments, stalled training, errors)
3. If on track → keep working on whatever you were doing
4. If stuck or something's wrong → step back, diagnose, fix, then continue
5. Never idle. Always be making progress.

Progress Reporting

When you have something meaningful to share, create a research presentation — not just a status dashboard, but a compelling story.

When to report (your judgment):

• After an outer loop that found a significant pattern
• When the optimization trajectory shows clear progress (include the plot!)
• After a pivot in direction
• Before requesting human input on a decision
• When concluding

What to include (adapt to what's compelling):

• The research question and why it matters
• Key results with visualizations (plots, metric tables)
• The optimization trajectory chart (metric over experiments)
• What was tried and why (selective, not exhaustive)
• Current understanding (the findings narrative)
• What's planned next

For Claude Code: generate HTML and open it. If HTML fails to open or render, convert to PDF as fallback (use weasyprint, playwright pdf, or wkhtmltopdf). For OpenClaw: generate PDF directly.

See references/progress-reporting.md for template scaffolding and the optimization plot approach. Use the template as a starting point — be creative with what you show.

Git Protocol

Commit at natural research milestones:

When	Message Pattern
Workspace initialized	research(init): {project} — {question}
Experiment protocol locked	research(protocol): {hypothesis}
Significant results	research(results): {hypothesis} — {outcome}
Outer loop direction change	research(reflect): {direction} — {reason}
Paper draft complete	research(paper): {title}

Hard rule: Protocol commits MUST precede result commits. Never combine them. The git history is your lightweight pre-registration — it proves what you planned before you saw results. Don't commit after every experiment — commit when there's meaningful progress.

Concluding: Paper Writing

When the outer loop decides to CONCLUDE:

1. Ensure findings.md has a clear, well-supported narrative
2. Study 2-3 top related papers to learn their format, style, and section structure
3. Invoke the 20-ml-paper-writing skill — it has LaTeX templates for NeurIPS, ICML, ICLR, ACL, AAAI, COLM, and systems venues
4. Feed it the accumulated literature, experimental results, and findings
5. Follow its citation verification workflow — never hallucinate references
6. Generate a final comprehensive research presentation

Proceed autonomously through the writing process. If the ml-paper-writing skill suggests human collaboration points, adapt and keep going — produce the best draft you can. The human will review and provide feedback.

Research Discipline

Principles to enforce continuously — not tied to any specific phase:

• Lock before you run: Commit your experiment protocol to git before executing. This proves your plan existed before you saw results. Never combine protocol + results in one commit.
• Confirmatory vs exploratory: Results matching your locked protocol are confirmatory. Everything else is exploratory — interesting but requiring more skepticism.
• Negative results are progress: A refuted hypothesis tells you something. Log what it rules out and what it suggests. Don't treat it as failure.
• Sanity check before analysis: Verify training converged, baselines reproduce, and data is correct before trusting your primary metric.
• Return to literature when confused: Don't guess — search. If results surprise you or assumptions break, go find papers. Use Exa MCP for discovery, Semantic Scholar for specific ML/AI paper lookup, arXiv for preprints.
• Never stop: Don't wait for human approval on routine decisions. If a skill or tool suggests collaboration, adapt and keep going. Find the best path forward autonomously. The human will see your progress reports and can redirect if needed.
• Use whatever compute is available: Adapt to the user's environment — local GPU, cluster job submission, cloud instances, or just CPU. If no GPU is available, use CPU and adjust experiment scale accordingly. Don't block on compute availability.

Quality Standards

Good agent behavior:

• Hypotheses have mechanistic reasoning ("X because Y, predicting Z"), not just "try X"
• findings.md builds a coherent narrative, not a flat list of results
• Negative results are recorded with what they rule out
• The agent updates its model when experiments contradict expectations
• Progress reports tell a research story with compelling visualizations

Bad agent behavior:

• Pure hyperparameter sweeps without interpretation
• findings.md is just experiment logs copy-pasted
• Agent never revisits its assumptions after failures
• Optimizing metrics without understanding why changes work

When to Use vs Alternatives

Use autoresearch when:

• You have a research question worth exploring
• The real contribution requires synthesis beyond simple analysis
• You want structured research with iterative deepening
• You want to produce a research artifact (paper, report, proposal)

Use individual domain skills instead when:

• You have a specific one-off task (train a model, run eval, write a paper)
• No iterative exploration needed

Common Issues

Inner loop stalls (no metric improvement) Run an outer loop. Is the metric the right one? Is the search space exhausted? Consider broadening or pivoting. Search literature for new approaches.

Stuck and not making progress Don't keep trying random changes. Step back: search literature for related work, invoke 21-research-ideation/ brainstorming skills, or run an outer loop reflection. Being stuck means you need new information or a new perspective, not more experiments.

Results contradict baseline expectations Investigate, don't ignore. Return to literature — your protocol might have an error, the published baseline may be wrong, or conditions differ. Update findings.md with what you learn.

Agent loses context between ticks Ensure research-state.yaml and findings.md are updated after every action. These files are your memory across sessions.

Can't find relevant papers Try multiple approaches in order: Exa MCP for broad search, Semantic Scholar for specific ML/AI paper lookup (pip install semanticscholar), arXiv for preprints (pip install arxiv). Check 20-ml-paper-writing skill's references/citation-workflow.md for complete API code. Note: Google Scholar has no official API — use Semantic Scholar instead for programmatic search.

No GPU available Use CPU and scale experiments down. Many research tasks (analysis, interpretability, small model training) run fine on CPU. Adjust experiment design to fit available compute rather than blocking.

Experiments take longer than /loop interval Normal. On the next tick, check if it finished. If not, keep waiting or do something else useful (update notes, search papers). Adjust interval if needed.

Not sure when to conclude Three questions: Do you have a strongly supported finding? Can you explain WHY it works? Would findings.md make a convincing paper abstract? If yes to all: conclude.

Advanced Topics

• Detailed agent continuity: references/agent-continuity.md
• Progress presentation templates: references/progress-reporting.md
• Complete skill routing: references/skill-routing.md