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Use when an urgent problem has a fast "fix" available — before adopting it, check whether the fix's relief mechanism is the same channel that will make the underlying problem worse and require a larger dose of the same fix next time, versus an ordinary…
原文语言：英语
Use when you are a crisis contributor whose exceptional capability made you indispensable during an emergency — to recognise that the same capability which made you irreplaceable during the crisis becomes a structural threat to the principal once the crisis…
原文语言：英语
Use when a plan is finalized but not yet launched, to surface failure modes the team hasn't acknowledged before commitment is locked in.
原文语言：英语
Use when facing a stated problem and about to move straight to generating solutions — pause and explicitly challenge whether the problem as framed is the right problem, since the frame (not the quality of the proposed solution) determines the entire solution…
原文语言：英语
Use when you need to attract an extraordinary person — a key hire, co-founder, advisor, or critical partner — who has alternatives, won't respond to standard incentives, and screens candidates by how much they genuinely understand and need them
原文语言：英语
Use when estimating the cost, duration, or probability of success of a project, initiative, or decision you are personally involved in — replace or check your case-specific intuitive estimate against the actual outcome distribution of a class of comparable…
原文语言：英语
Use when you need to discover another party's true position, interest, or timeline and direct questioning would produce diplomatic or socially expected answers rather than genuine disclosure
原文语言：英语
Use when facing severe competitive defeat — forced exit, punishing terms, or subjugation by a stronger opponent — where survival requires accepting humiliation in the short term, to systematically rebuild capability over years while maintaining the motivation…
原文语言：英语
Use when planning a campaign, product launch, or competitive push — to build strategic potential before committing, combine direct and indirect forces simultaneously, and strike at the moment of maximum advantage rather than at the earliest opportunity
原文语言：英语
Use when deciding whether to continue a project, relationship, purchase, or course of action that has already consumed significant time, money, or effort — before weighing that prior investment as a reason to continue, because money, time, and effort already…
原文语言：英语
Use when managing a portfolio of initiatives, products, teams, or investments — to identify areas generating surplus above their optimal level and actively redirect those resources to deficit areas, because the human default (pile more into what's already…
原文语言：英语
Use when a problem keeps recurring despite fixes, when a team is reacting to events without understanding why they happen, or when a decision needs structural rather than symptomatic treatment.
原文语言：英语
Use when negotiating and direct requests or arguments aren't surfacing the other party's real position — mirror their last few words to prompt elaboration, label the emotion you observe without asking if it's true, ask calibrated how/what questions instead of…
原文语言：英语
Use when direct recruiting for a specific type of talent or partner is failing — to make a single visible, costly, and seemingly disproportionate investment in a specific instance of what you want to attract, demonstrating credibly to the market that you are…
原文语言：英语
Use when considering a co-founder, key long-term partner, or senior hire into a mission-critical role — before committing to a deep, open-ended, high-trust collaboration, test alignment on fundamental direction and decision-making philosophy through concrete…
原文语言：英语
Use when competing in a market where third-party relationships — partners, distributors, platforms, standards bodies, or key suppliers — determine who wins, to build your own coalition while preventing the opponent from forming theirs
原文语言：英语
Use when designing organizational processes, product iteration cycles, or performance systems and need to identify what feedback exists, what is missing, and how to make it faster or more accurate.
原文语言：英语
Use when designing governance, organizational processes, or operational controls — to audit whether each desired outcome requires individual virtue to produce, and replace virtue-reliance with structural mechanisms that make good behavior the rational…
原文语言：英语
Use when your organisation's performance depends on the judgment of a few exceptional individuals — to encode that expert judgment into systematic, teachable doctrine that average practitioners can execute, decoupling performance from individual talent and…
原文语言：英语
Use when solving a complex, human-centered problem where the right solution is unknown — to move through structured phases of deep user empathy, problem reframing, divergent ideation, and rapid prototype testing before committing to a solution.
原文语言：英语
Use when designing a customer, patient, or user experience with multiple sequential moments — a service journey, a medical procedure, a product onboarding flow, an event — to deliberately design the most intense moment and the final moment, because people's…
原文语言：英语
Use when deciding whether AI-generated code can be trusted without reading it line by line — instead of reading the target code, build or generate small, deterministic, narrowly-scoped verification tools (coverage checkers, complexity linters, mutation…
原文语言：英语
Use when building or iterating on an LLM feature, prompt, or agentic system — to measure improvement objectively rather than speculating about what the model needs.
原文语言：英语
Use when building or prompting a multi-step agentic system — to structure execution so the agent plans before acting, creates verifiable checkpoints, and avoids irreversible mistakes.
原文语言：英语
Use when defining a new product, feature, or service before committing resources to build it — especially for initiatives with unclear customer value, competing solution approaches, or significant investment required. Trigger before writing a PRD or technical…
原文语言：英语
Use when a project's cost or schedule depends on multiple uncertain estimates — running a Monte Carlo simulation across many randomized combinations of those estimates to produce a probability distribution of likely outcomes, rather than relying on a…
原文语言：英语
Use when deciding how much additional QA effort a specific code change warrants — route the decision through the change's actual risk profile (does it touch money, authentication, personal data, or concurrency?) to select which additional QA layers apply,…
原文语言：英语
Use when deciding how much test and verification code to write around a piece of core logic, now that AI can generate it at near-zero marginal cost — classify the logic by consequence-of-failure tier (disposable, hope-it-works, must-not-fail,…
原文语言：英语
Use when establishing a testing strategy for a new project, when test suites are slow or flaky, or when the ratio of unit/integration/e2e tests is imbalanced
原文语言：英语
Use when evaluating commodities as an asset class — assessing where a specific commodity sits within a multi-decade supply-and-demand supercycle, since commodity prices move through long structural cycles distinct from equity market cycles and require a…
原文语言：英语
Use when judging where a market cycle currently stands — classifying the current phase as correction, adjustment (accumulation or distribution), or trend (exaggeration) using Kostolany's egg-shaped cycle model, to judge whether a move is likely to continue,…
原文语言：英语
Use when a current debt buildup, asset boom, or credit expansion is being explained away as structurally different from past episodes that ended in crisis — check the situation against the same quantitative markers (debt-to-GDP trajectory, capital-inflow…
原文语言：英语
Use when evaluating whether an entire asset class or credit market is experiencing a systemic mispricing — verifying the underlying loan/asset quality directly rather than trusting credit ratings or market consensus, since ratings and consensus can be…
原文语言：英语
Use when planning a persuasive presentation, pitch, or talk — designing the argument architecture, narrative arc, and evidence sequencing to move a specific audience from their current position toward the desired outcome.
原文语言：英语
Use when building or auditing a social media strategy including platform selection, content mix, posting cadence, and KPIs
原文语言：英语
Use when designing a work schedule, environment, or practice to enable sustained, distraction-free, cognitively demanding work
原文语言：英语
Use when building a new capability, closing a performance gap, or sustaining long-term improvement — to replace intensity-and-breakthrough thinking with consistent small efforts that compound, because regularity produces exponentially better outcomes than…
原文语言：英语
Use when planning your workday or a work session — to identify the single most important or most dreaded task and complete it before anything else, eliminating the procrastination tax.
原文语言：英语
Use when someone is ambivalent about change, resisting intervention, or when direct advice and persuasion have failed to produce movement
原文语言：英语
Use when helping someone reduce psychological suffering caused by rigid avoidance, fusion with unhelpful thoughts, or values-behavior disconnection — particularly for anxiety, depression, chronic pain, or stress.
原文语言：英语