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polymarket-research
Research any Polymarket topic — get market data, probabilities, volumes, and top holders in one snapshot. Read-only, no trading.
用 Codex 或 Claude 帮你安装 复制这段 Prompt,粘贴到 Codex、Claude 或其他助手里,让它检查 Skill 页面并帮你完成安装。
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Research any Polymarket topic — get market data, probabilities, volumes, and top holders in one snapshot. Read-only, no trading.
用 Codex 或 Claude 帮你安装 复制这段 Prompt,粘贴到 Codex、Claude 或其他助手里,让它检查 Skill 页面并帮你完成安装。
Pre-trade readiness check for autonomous agents. One call returns wallet identity, venue status, spendable balance, open exposure, and a structured ok_to_trade verdict. Run before every real-money trade to prevent cap overruns and catch config issues before they become P&L issues.
Mirror positions from top Polymarket traders. Polling mode (free) for portfolio-style copying, Reactor mode (Pro) for event-driven real-time mirroring via Simmer's on-chain signal infrastructure.
Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA (US) and Open-Meteo (international) forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's weather trading approach. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets, automate weather bets, check forecasts, or run weather-based strategies.
Generate complete, installable OpenClaw trading skills from natural language strategy descriptions. Use when your human wants to create a new trading strategy, build a bot, generate a skill, automate a trade idea, turn a tweet into a strategy, or asks "build me a skill that...". Produces a full skill folder (SKILL.md + Python script + config) ready to install and run.
One-shot bootstrap for the Simmer MCP server. Detects your agent runtime (Claude Code / Cursor / OpenClaw / Hermes / Codex), installs simmer-mcp via npm, writes the right MCP config, prompts a restart, and verifies the tool handshake. Use after registering an agent on simmer.markets to run pre-built Simmer trading strategies through your MCP-aware agent.
The prediction market interface for AI agents. Trade Polymarket and Kalshi through one API with self-custody wallets, safety rails, and smart context.
基于 SOC 职业分类
| name | polymarket-research |
| description | Research any Polymarket topic — get market data, probabilities, volumes, and top holders in one snapshot. Read-only, no trading. |
| metadata | {"author":"Simmer (@simmer_markets)","version":"1.0.0","displayName":"Polymarket Research","difficulty":"beginner"} |
Get a structured research snapshot for any Polymarket topic. Returns market probabilities, volume across time windows, and the top holders (largest positions) per outcome. Read-only — no trades, no wallet needed.
This is a template. The default output is a research snapshot — remix it to feed into your own trading logic, dashboard, or analysis pipeline. The skill handles market discovery and data retrieval. Your agent decides what to do with the signal.
pip install simmer-sdk
export SIMMER_API_KEY="sk_live_..."
python research.py "bitcoin price"
python research.py "us election" --top-holders 20
python research.py "weather" --min-volume 100000
For each matching market:
| Field | Source |
|---|---|
| Question, status, resolution date | Simmer SDK |
| YES/NO probability | Simmer SDK (synced from Polymarket CLOB) |
| 24h volume | Simmer SDK |
| Top holders per outcome | Polymarket data API (free, no auth) |
| Edge analysis vs AI price | Simmer SDK context endpoint |
| Parameter | Env var | Default | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| Search query | (CLI arg) | required | Topic to search for |
| Min volume | SIMMER_RESEARCH_MIN_VOLUME | 10000 | Skip markets below this 24h volume |
| Max results | SIMMER_RESEARCH_MAX_RESULTS | 5 | Markets to return |
| Top holders | SIMMER_RESEARCH_TOP_HOLDERS | 10 | Holders per outcome |
=== Bitcoin Price Markets ===
1. Will BTC hit $150k by end of 2026?
YES: 32.5% | NO: 67.5%
Volume (24h): $284,102
Resolves: 2026-12-31
Top holders (YES):
Gabagool22: 142,301 shares
xuanxuan008: 89,442 shares
marketing101: 67,221 shares
Top holders (NO):
0xe1d6...907: 203,112 shares
sharky6999: 156,004 shares
--min-volume