菜单
Unified pre-trade safety gate: Ruin check (Law #1), ergodicity audit, and win-rate dominance validation. Absorbs: ergodicity-check, law-of-ruin, win-rate-dominance.
用 Codex 或 Claude 帮你安装 复制这段 Prompt，粘贴到 Codex、Claude 或其他助手里，让它检查 Skill 页面并帮你完成安装。
基于 SOC 职业分类
| name | trading-risk-gate |
| description | Unified pre-trade safety gate: Ruin check (Law #1), ergodicity audit, and win-rate dominance validation. Absorbs: ergodicity-check, law-of-ruin, win-rate-dominance. |
| argument-hint | ruin check | should I take this trade | is this safe | compare WR vs RR |
| auto-invoke | true |
| model | default |
| context_trigger | ruin, is this safe, should I risk, veto, ergodic, sequence risk, WR vs RR, position size, Law #1, bankruptcy |
Absorbs:
ergodicity-check,law-of-ruin,win-rate-dominance
Unified pre-trade gate. Answers: "Should I take this trade?" by running three checks in sequence.
"is this safe", "should I risk", "ruin", "Law #1", "veto", "ergodic", "sequence risk", "wr vs rr", "win rate stability", "why am I losing with 1:3", "absorbing state", "all-in", "bankruptcy"
GATE 1: Law of Ruin GATE 2: Ergodicity GATE 3: WR Dominance
┌─────────────────────┐ ┌─────────────────────┐ ┌─────────────────────┐
│ P(Ruin) > 5%? │ ──▶ │ Non-ergodic? │ ──▶ │ WR < Breakeven? │
│ 5 Domains: │ │ Absorbing barrier? │ │ Variance Drag > EV? │
│ Bio/Legal/Fin/ │ │ P(survive N) < 80%? │ │ RR structure viable? │
│ Social/Psych │ │ │ │ │
│ VETO if YES ❌ │ │ VETO if YES ❌ │ │ WARN if YES ⚠️ │
└─────────────────────┘ └─────────────────────┘ └─────────────────────┘
| Layer | Domain | Event Horizon |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Biological | Death, permanent disability |
| 2 | Legal | Incarceration, criminal record |
| 3 | Financial | Bankruptcy, margin call |
| 4 | Social | De-platforming, exile |
| 5 | Psychological | Burnout Stage 4, loss of agency |
VETO if P(Ruin) > 5%. No exceptions.
RISK GATE REPORT
────────────────
Gate 1 (Ruin): [✅ PASS / ❌ VETO — domain: ...]
Gate 2 (Ergodicity): [✅ PASS / ❌ VETO — P(survival): X%]
Gate 3 (WR/RR): [✅ PASS / ⚠️ WARN — variance drag exceeds ...]
VERDICT: [CLEARED / VETOED]
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