falsifiability-check

name	falsifiability-check
description	SOP: check whether a hypothesis meets the falsifiability criterion
version	1.0.0
category	hypothesis-formation
type	sop
campaign	hypothesis-formulation
input	Hypothesis statement (with statement + variables + mechanism)
output	Falsifiability verdict + falsification scenario + revision suggestions (if unfalsifiable)
dependencies	{"skills":["subagent-spawning"]}

Falsifiability Check

Check hypotheses against Popper's falsifiability criterion, ensuring every hypothesis has an explicit refutation condition.

HARD-GATE

Preconditions (all must hold before starting): 1. At least 1 hypothesis statement exists (with statement) 2. The hypothesis involves observable variables or phenomena

Not satisfied → stop and return an error: hypothesis statement is incomplete.

Pipeline

1. Pre-check: verify the completeness of the hypothesis statement
2. Observable-prediction derivation: derive ≥2 specific observable predictions from the hypothesis
3. Refutation-prediction construction: construct "what should be observed if the hypothesis is wrong"
4. Feasibility assessment: is the refutation prediction testable technically and ethically?
5. Verdict: falsifiable / not falsifiable / needs revision
6. If not falsifiable: provide specific revision suggestions to make it falsifiable
7. Output the verdict

Output Format

{
  "hypothesis_id": "H1",
  "statement": "...",
  "positive_predictions": [
    "If H1 is true, we should observe X in condition Y"
  ],
  "falsification_scenario": "Specific observation that would conclusively refute H1",
  "testability": "high | medium | low",
  "verdict": "falsifiable | not_falsifiable | needs_revision",
  "revision_suggestion": "How to make it falsifiable (null if already falsifiable)",
  "notes"