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What is the worst case? — Extreme condition construction and failure mode enumeration for risk preparedness
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基于 SOC 职业分类
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| name | stress-scenario |
| description | What is the worst case? — Extreme condition construction and failure mode enumeration for risk preparedness |
| version | 1.0.0 |
| category | experiment-execution |
| type | strategy |
| sops | ["scenario-driver-identification","worst-case-construction","scenario-impact-assessment","robustness-scoring","scenario-synthesis"] |
| tactics | ["strategy-robustness-testing"] |
| dependencies | {"sops":["robustness-scoring","scenario-driver-identification","scenario-impact-assessment","scenario-synthesis","worst-case-construction"],"tactics":["strategy-robustness-testing"]} |
Stress Testing combined with Failure Mode Analysis. Deliberately construct extreme but plausible scenarios that maximally challenge the research approach. Identify breaking points, failure modes, and minimum conditions for viability.
Key principles:
Identify drivers → spawn scenario-driver-identification
Construct worst cases → spawn worst-case-construction (×3-5)
Assess impact → spawn scenario-impact-assessment (per worst case)
Score robustness → spawn robustness-scoring
Synthesize → spawn scenario-synthesis
| Step | Token Budget | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Driver identification | 8K | Threat-focused |
| Worst-case construction | 12K × N | N = 3-5 stress scenarios |
| Impact assessment | 12K × N | Deeper analysis for stress |
| Robustness scoring | 10K | Failure threshold mapping |
| Synthesis | 12K | Risk mitigation report |
Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.
| Tactic | When to use |
|---|---|
| strategy-robustness-testing | Orchestrates impact assessment and robustness scoring to evaluate research approach resilience across scenarios |
Optional, no fixed order; the final leaf is always a sop.
| SOP | When to use |
|---|---|
| robustness-scoring | Compute robustness index across scenarios with sensitivity analysis |
| scenario-driver-identification | Identify key uncertainty drivers using PESTEL framework scanning |
| scenario-impact-assessment | Assess each scenario's impact on the research approach across multiple dimensions |
| scenario-synthesis | Comprehensive scenario analysis report synthesizing all scenario work |
| worst-case-construction | Construct extreme but plausible worst-case scenarios for stress testing |
