菜单
Tactic for reasoning about what would happen if variables were different — supports causal identification and intervention analysis.
用 Codex 或 Claude 帮你安装 复制这段 Prompt，粘贴到 Codex、Claude 或其他助手里，让它检查 Skill 页面并帮你完成安装。
基于 SOC 职业分类
SOP for detecting and resolving concept aliases — merge duplicate pages, redirect edges.
SOP for creating a claim page in the vault — atomic proposition with type classification, source attribution, and initial confidence.
SOP for creating a new concept page with proper frontmatter, content, and initial edges.
SOP for flagging contradictions in the causal model — identify conflicting evidence or mechanism claims.
SOP for creating a dimension page — documents an axis of variation with its values and semantics.
SOP for creating multiple edges in a batch — efficient bulk relationship creation.
| name | counterfactual-reasoning |
| description | Tactic for reasoning about what would happen if variables were different — supports causal identification and intervention analysis. |
| execution | tactic |
| used-by | causal-modeling, variable-identification, intervention-analysis, model-validation |
Reason about what would happen if a variable were different. "If X had not occurred, would Y still have happened?" This is the gold standard for causal identification.
