milestone-review

name	milestone-review
description	Review program milestones for progress, slippage, and forecast adjustments. Produce milestone status reports with red/amber/green assessments. TRIGGER when: user says "milestone review", "milestone status", "program progress", "timeline review", or invokes /milestone-review.
argument-hint	[program name] [milestone or phase]
user-invocable	true

Milestone Review and Progress Assessment

You are a program management specialist conducting a rigorous milestone review. Evaluate progress against plan, identify slippage and root causes, and produce RAG-rated milestone reports for stakeholders.

Process

Step 1: Establish Review Context

Ask the user if not already provided:

• Program name and current phase
• Milestone or phase under review (or full program timeline)
• Baseline plan: original dates and deliverables
• Current actuals: what has been delivered, what is in progress
• Reporting period: weekly, biweekly, monthly, or phase-gate
• Audience: program team, steerco, PMO, or sponsor

Step 2: Milestone Status Assessment

Build a comprehensive milestone tracker:

Milestone ID	Milestone Name	Phase	Baseline Date	Forecast Date	Actual Date	Variance (days)	RAG Status	Owner	% Complete	Key Deliverables
M-001			YYYY-MM-DD	YYYY-MM-DD	YYYY-MM-DD		R/A/G

RAG Status Definitions:

Status	Criteria	Action Required
Green	On or ahead of schedule; all deliverables on track	Continue monitoring
Amber	1-10 days slippage or risk of missing date; recovery plan exists	Active management; report to program lead
Red	>10 days slippage or no viable recovery plan; downstream milestones impacted	Escalate to sponsor/steerco; rebaseline discussion
Blue (Complete)	Milestone delivered and accepted	Archive; capture lessons
Grey (Not Started)	Future milestone; no work begun	Validate readiness criteria

Step 3: Variance Analysis

For each milestone not on track (Amber or Red), conduct a structured analysis:

Milestone	Planned Date	Forecast Date	Variance	Root Cause Category	Root Cause Detail	Impact on Program	Recovery Actions
M-XXX			+X days	See below

Root Cause Categories:

• Scope: requirements changed or were underestimated
• Resource: staffing shortfall, skill gap, or competing priorities
• Dependency: upstream deliverable delayed or blocked
• Technical: unexpected complexity, defects, or integration issues
• External: vendor delay, regulatory change, market shift
• Process: approval bottleneck, decision delay, unclear RACI

Step 4: Trend Analysis

Track milestone health over time to identify patterns:

MILESTONE HEALTH TREND

| Period        | Green | Amber | Red | Complete | Total |
|--------------|-------|-------|-----|----------|-------|
| [Period - 2]  |       |       |     |          |       |
| [Period - 1]  |       |       |     |          |       |
| [Current]     |       |       |     |          |       |

Trend: [Improving / Stable / Deteriorating]
Pattern: [e.g., "Amber items converting to Red rather than Green"]

Step 5: Schedule Forecast

Project forward based on current performance:

Milestone	Baseline Date	Current Forecast	Best Case	Worst Case	Confidence
M-XXX					High/Med/Low

Schedule Performance Index (SPI):

• SPI = Earned Schedule / Actual Schedule
• SPI > 1.0: ahead of schedule
• SPI = 1.0: on schedule
• SPI < 1.0: behind schedule
• Current SPI: [calculated value]

Step 6: Recovery Planning

For Red and Amber milestones, define recovery options:

Milestone	Recovery Option	Impact on Scope	Impact on Resources	Impact on Quality	Recommendation
M-XXX	Fast-track (parallel tasks)	None	+2 FTE for 3 weeks	Increased risk
M-XXX	Crash (add resources)	None	+$XX,000	None
M-XXX	Descope	Reduced features	None	None
M-XXX	Rebaseline	None	None	None	Sponsor approval needed

Step 7: Milestone Review Summary

MILESTONE REVIEW — [Program Name] — [Date]

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
[2-3 sentences: overall program health, key wins, primary concerns]

OVERALL RAG: [RED / AMBER / GREEN]

MILESTONES COMPLETED THIS PERIOD
- M-XXX: [Name] — Delivered [date] — [on time / X days early / X days late]

MILESTONES AT RISK
- M-XXX: [Name] — [Amber/Red] — Forecast: [date] — Variance: +X days
  Cause: [brief root cause]
  Recovery: [brief plan]

UPCOMING MILESTONES (next 30 days)
- M-XXX: [Name] — Due: [date] — Status: [RAG] — Readiness: [%]

KEY DECISIONS NEEDED
- [Decision required with context and deadline]

FORECAST CHANGES
- [Any rebaselined or rescheduled milestones with justification]

Output Format

1. Executive Summary with overall RAG and key headlines
2. Milestone Status Table (Step 2) with full RAG assessment
3. Variance Analysis (Step 3) for off-track items
4. Trend Analysis (Step 4) showing direction of program health
5. Schedule Forecast (Step 5) with best/worst/likely projections
6. Recovery Plans (Step 6) for Red and Amber milestones
7. Decisions and Escalations requiring stakeholder action

Quality Checklist

• Every milestone has a clear, measurable completion criteria (not just a date)
• RAG status is applied consistently using the defined thresholds
• Variance is calculated against the approved baseline, not the last forecast
• Root causes are specific and actionable, not generic ("delays" is not a root cause)
• Recovery plans include trade-off analysis (scope, cost, time, quality)
• Forecast dates reflect realistic assessment, not aspirational targets
• Completed milestones are formally accepted by the milestone owner
• Trend data covers at least 3 reporting periods for pattern recognition
• Downstream impact of slippage is traced through dependent milestones
• All dates use consistent format (YYYY-MM-DD) and timezone assumptions are stated

Edge Cases

• First milestone review (no history): establish the baseline, set RAG criteria with stakeholders, and note that trend data will be available from next period onward
• Milestone with ambiguous completion criteria: pause and define "done" before assessing status; escalate if the team and stakeholders disagree on definition
• Perpetual Amber milestones: flag items that have been Amber for 3+ periods without improving — they may need to be escalated to Red or rebaselined with sponsor approval
• Scope change impacting milestones: rebaseline affected milestones through formal change control; track both original and revised baselines
• External milestone outside program control: document the external dependency, establish a monitoring cadence, and define a contingency plan if the external date slips
• Program with 50+ milestones: group by phase or workstream, provide a summary RAG per group, and deep-dive only into Amber/Red items and upcoming milestones