market-top-detector

name

market-top-detector

description

Detects market top probability using O'Neil Distribution Days, Minervini Leading Stock Deterioration, and Monty Defensive Sector Rotation. Generates a 0-100 composite score with risk zone classification. Use when user asks about market top risk, distribution days, defensive rotation, leadership breakdown, or whether to reduce equity exposure. Focuses on 2-8 week tactical timing signals for 10-20% corrections.

Market Top Detector Skill

Purpose

Detect the probability of a market top formation using a quantitative 6-component scoring system (0-100). Integrates three proven market top detection methodologies:

1. O'Neil - Distribution Day accumulation (institutional selling)
2. Minervini - Leading stock deterioration pattern
3. Monty - Defensive sector rotation signal

Unlike the Bubble Detector (macro/multi-month evaluation), this skill focuses on tactical 2-8 week timing signals that precede 10-20% market corrections.

When to Use This Skill

English:

• User asks "Is the market topping?" or "Are we near a top?"
• User notices distribution days accumulating
• User observes defensive sectors outperforming growth
• User sees leading stocks breaking down while indices hold
• User asks about reducing equity exposure timing
• User wants to assess correction probability for the next 2-8 weeks

Japanese:

• 「天井が近い？」「今は利確すべき？」
• ディストリビューションデーの蓄積を懸念
• ディフェンシブセクターがグロースをアウトパフォーム
• 先導株が崩れ始めているが指数はまだ持ちこたえている
• エクスポージャー縮小のタイミング判断
• 今後2〜8週間の調整確率を評価したい

Prerequisites

Required:

• FMP API Key: Set $FMP_API_KEY environment variable or pass . Free tier sufficient (~33 API calls per execution).