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Turn a news headline or event into a well-formed prediction market
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Basierend auf der SOC-Berufsklassifikation
Create, cancel, or manage multiple orders in a single batch
Place and manage prediction market orders on Context Markets
Build an embeddable single-market prediction widget with buy/sell buttons
Build a portfolio dashboard showing positions, P&L, balances, and claimable winnings
Build prediction market frontends with the Context React SDK
Scaffold a full prediction market trading UI with market list, orders, and portfolio
| name | context-create-news-to-market |
| description | Turn a news headline or event into a well-formed prediction market |
Transform a news article, headline, or event into a properly structured prediction market with clear resolution criteria.
The user has a news event or topic and wants to create a prediction market around it.
Evaluate the input — is the event resolvable, binary, timely, and interesting?
Identify the claim type — event-by-deadline, threshold, period-gated, durational, or none/never. This determines how the oracle can resolve.
Draft the question — start with "Will...", include a specific outcome and timeframe. Keep under 150 characters. Create a shorter shortQuestion variant.
Write resolution criteria — the most important part:
This market resolves YES if [specific condition].
This market resolves NO if [the market end time passes without the condition being met].
Evidence sources: [@handle1, @handle2] on X/Twitter.
[OR] Evidence sources: Official announcements from [specific outlets].
Clarifications:
- [What counts/doesn't count]
- [Edge cases]
Choose evidence mode:
social_only if X/Twitter accounts will cover the eventweb_enabled if official data sources (SEC filings, sports scores, government sites) are neededList sources — for social_only: specific X handles. For web_enabled: types of authoritative sources.
Set end time — give buffer after the expected event for evidence to appear. If the event happens at 3pm, set end time to midnight or later.
Submit:
context_agent_submit_market({ formattedQuestion, shortQuestion, marketType: "OBJECTIVE", evidenceMode, resolutionCriteria, endTime: "2026-06-15 23:59:59", timezone: "America/New_York", sources: ["@handle"], explanation: "Brief reason" })ctx.questions.agentSubmitAndWait({ market: { formattedQuestion, shortQuestion, marketType, evidenceMode, resolutionCriteria, endTime, timezone, sources } })ctx.markets.create(submission.questions[0].id)context questions agent-submit-and-wait --formatted-question "..." --short-question "..." --market-type OBJECTIVE --evidence-mode web_enabled --resolution-criteria "..." --end-time "2026-06-15 23:59:59" --timezone "America/New_York" --sources "@Apple,@tim_cook"Verify — call context_get_market with the returned market ID to confirm it was created.
social_only, or describe authoritative sources for web_enabled.social_only for an earnings report that will be on the SEC website but not tweeted by anyone specific. Use web_enabled for official data.context_get_market returns the created market with status "active".