define-x-strategy

**User request**: $ARGUMENTS Create personalized X_STRATEGY.md through discovery interview. Strategy is grounded in algorithm-derived optimal growth principles. **Before starting**: Read the reference documents in `skills/define-x-strategy/references/`: - `OPTIMAL_STRATEGY.md` — The growth model and optimization principles - `ALGORITHM_ANALYSIS.md` — Deep dive into X's recommendation algorithm **Discovery log**: `/tmp/x-strategy-{YYYYMMDD-HHMMSS}.md` ## The Growth Model (from reference) ``` E = S × (N × D + R × U_oon) ``` - **S** (Content Score) — multiplies everything; quality > quantity - **D** (Engagement Density) — % of followers who engage; protect this - **R** (Retrieval Alignment) — niche focus; stay consistent - **N** (Followers) — output of optimizing S, D, R; not a goal **Phases** (state-based, not time-based): 1. **Build R** — Train algorithm via engagement before posting (when N ≈ 0) 2. **Build D** — Convert engagement to reciprocal network (when N small) 3. **Maximize S** — Optimize content score indefinitely (steady state) **Invariants**: Quality > quantity, protect D, niche focus, avoid negative signals. ## Workflow ### Create todo list (immediately) ``` - [ ] Read references/; done when model internalized - [ ] Create discovery log - [ ] Discover current state→log; done when N, D, R assessed - [ ] Discover niche positioning→log; done when angle clear - [ ] Discover goals & constraints→log; done when realistic picture formed - [ ] (expand: areas as discovery reveals) - [ ] Assess current phase; done when phase determined with reasoning - [ ] Refresh: read full discovery log - [ ] Generate X_STRATEGY.md; done when strategy complete + validated ``` ### Create discovery log ```markdown # X Strategy Discovery Started: {timestamp} ## Current State (populated incrementally) ## Niche & Positioning (populated incrementally) ## Goals & Constraints (populated incrementally) ## Phase Assessment (populated after discovery) ## Refinement (populated during validation) ``` ## Discovery Areas Discover enough to assess phase and create actionable strategy. Use AskUserQuestion for all questions. ### Current State Understand where they are: - Account status (new, growing, established) - Engagement patterns (do posts get traction?) - Posting history (consistent? strategic? sporadic?) - Network quality (followers who engage vs. dead followers) ### Niche & Positioning Understand their angle: - Topic/expertise area - What makes their perspective unique - Target audience on X - Competitive landscape in their niche ### Goals & Constraints Understand their reality: - What they want from X (audience, leads, networking, brand) - Time available (determines viable strategies) - Content creation preferences (formats, strengths) - Engagement comfort level ### Expand as Needed | Discovery Reveals | Add Todo For | |-------------------|--------------| | Multiple potential niches | Niche narrowing | | Very limited time | Minimum viable strategy | | Product/service to promote | Aligned content strategy | | Audience elsewhere | Cross-platform leverage | | Past failures | Failure analysis | **Write findings to log after each discovery step.** ## Phase Assessment After discovery, determine their phase: | Indicators | Phase | |------------|-------| | N < 100, little engagement history | Phase 1: Build R | | N small, engaged core forming | Phase 2: Build D | | N > 500, D > 30%, consistent posting | Phase 3: Maximize S | Document reasoning in log. ## Output: X_STRATEGY.md Generate strategy document. Structure should include: ```markdown # X Growth Strategy: {Niche/Name} > **North Star**: {One sentence goal} ## Current State **Phase**: {1/2/3} — {Phase name} **Focus**: {Primary variable to optimize} {Current metrics assessment: N, D, R} ## The Model {Brief explanation of exposure equation relevant to their phase} ## Your Niche Position **Topic**: {Their niche} **Angle**: {Unique perspective} **Audience**: {Who they're reaching} **Positioning**: {One sentence: "I help [audience] with [topic] by [angle]"} ## Phase-Appropriate Actions {Actions specific to their current phase, fitted to their time budget} {For Phase 1: engagement-focused, no posting yet} {For Phase 2: posting + reciprocal network building} {For Phase 3: content optimization + D maintenance} ## Content Strategy {Based on their strengths and formats} ### Content Principles {Pillars aligned with their niche and strengths} ### Multi-Signal Checklist {Engagement triggers relevant to their content type} ### What to Avoid {Anti-patterns specific to their situation} ## Engagement Strategy {Time allocation based on their constraints} {Engagement rules for their phase} ## Metrics to Track {Phase-appropriate metrics} {Transition triggers to next phase} ## Anti-Patterns {Specific to their situation and common mistakes for their phase} ## Quick Reference {Daily/weekly checklist fitted to their time budget} --- *Strategy created: {date}* *Phase: {current}* *Review when: {transition trigger}* ``` **Adapt structure to what discovery revealed.** Add/remove sections as needed. ## Validation Present key sections for validation: - Does positioning capture them? - Are actions realistic given constraints? - Does phase assessment match their experience? Update based on feedback. Write refinements to log. ## Principles | Principle | Rule | |-----------|------| | Reference first | Read references/ before interviewing | | Write before proceed | Log findings after each discovery step | | Phase-appropriate | Strategy must match current state | | Realistic constraints | Actions must fit their actual time/capacity | | Principle over prescription | Give frameworks, not rigid scripts | | State-based transitions | No time promises; transition when conditions met | ## Completion Strategy complete when: - [ ] Phase correctly assessed with reasoning - [ ] Actions appropriate for phase and constraints - [ ] Content strategy aligned with strengths - [ ] Metrics tied to phase transitions - [ ] User validates key sections Write `X_STRATEGY.md` to current directory.