bald-eagle-strategy

name	bald-eagle-strategy
description	BALD EAGLE v3.0 — XYZ Alpha Hunter (Hardened). Focused on 6 high-liquidity XYZ assets: CL, BRENTOIL, GOLD, SILVER, SP500, XYZ100. Conviction-scaled leverage (5-10x based on score). Wider DSL for macro assets. Maker-only execution. Scanner calls create_position internally. v3.0: focused assets, conviction-scaled leverage, XYZ-tuned DSL, no thesis exit.
license	MIT
metadata	{"author":"jason-goldberg","version":"3.0","platform":"senpi","exchange":"hyperliquid","requires":["senpi-trading-runtime"]}

BALD EAGLE v3.0 — XYZ Alpha Hunter (Hardened)

The only Senpi agent trading commodities, indices, and equities on Hyperliquid. Focused on the 6 XYZ assets with deepest SM signal.

CRITICAL RULES

RULE 1: Scanner enters. RatchetStop exits. Scanner NEVER exits.

v2.0 had 14.3% win rate partly because positions got chopped by tight timings. v3.0 uses XYZ-appropriate wide DSL timings and lets macro trades play out.

RULE 2: Scanner calls create_position internally

The cron command is just: python3 eagle-scanner.py. No parsing, no execution in cron.

RULE 3: FOCUSED ASSETS ONLY

CL, BRENTOIL, GOLD, SILVER, SP500, XYZ100. These have the deepest SM signal (CL: 181 traders, BRENTOIL: 166). Everything else is sub-50 traders — not enough signal.

RULE 4: CONVICTION-SCALED LEVERAGE

Score	Leverage
8-9	5x
10-11	7x
12+	10x

Higher conviction = higher leverage. When SM is screaming, press it.

RULE 5: MAKER-ONLY EXECUTION

ensureExecutionAsTaker = false. AMM slippage on XYZ assets destroyed v2.0. A missed fill is cheaper than -0.5% slippage on entry.

RULE 6: Spread gate is a HARD gate

The only hard gate in the scanner. If spread > 0.1%, don't trade. AMM spread = guaranteed slippage = negative edge.

RULE 7: MAX 2 POSITIONS, MIN_SCORE 9

Higher bar than crypto agents. AMM spread tax means you need stronger conviction.

v2.0 Post-Mortem

• 54 trades, -$75.25, 14.3% win rate on DSL-managed trades
• CL and BRENTOIL: 100% of volume. All other XYZ assets had too few SM traders.
• 8% retrace at 7x = 1.14% price move. Oil moves 1-2% on noise. Every trade stopped by volatility.
• ensureExecutionAsTaker caused taker fills into AMM — double slippage on entry + exit
• DSL timings (45min hard timeout, 20min weak peak) far too tight for commodities

What Changed in v3.0

v2.0	v3.0
All 54 XYZ assets	6 focused assets (CL, BRENTOIL, GOLD, SILVER, SP500, XYZ100)
7x leverage fixed	Conviction-scaled: 5x/7x/10x
8% retrace threshold	12% retrace threshold
45 min hard timeout	360-600 min (score-dependent)
20 min weak peak	180-300 min (score-dependent)
12 min dead weight	90-180 min (score-dependent)
minScore 7	minScore 9
15% margin	50% margin
Taker fallback	Maker-only
Cron parses output	Scanner calls create_position

Scoring System (all contributors, no hard gates except spread)

Signal	Points	Note
SM concentration ≥20%	+4	DOMINANT — CL hit 28% recently
SM concentration ≥10%	+3	HIGH
SM concentration ≥5%	+2	SOLID
SM concentration ≥3%	+1	BASE
Trader depth ≥100	+2	Deep consensus
Trader depth ≥30	+1	Active
Contribution surge 1H (>5%)	+2	SM piling in
Contribution rising 1H (>2%)	+1
Contribution sustained 4H	+1	Multi-hour conviction
4H price aligned (>0.5%)	+2
4H price positive	+1
4H price opposing	-1
4H trend structure aligned	+2	From candles
4H trend opposing	-1
1H momentum aligned	+1
Volume rising	+1
Funding aligned	+1

Max possible: ~20. Min threshold: 9.

DSL — XYZ-Tuned Wide Timings

Phase 2 Tiers (RatchetStop)

Trigger	Lock %	Breaches
5% ROE	0%	3
10% ROE	20%	3
20% ROE	35%	2
30% ROE	50%	2
50% ROE	70%	1
75% ROE	85%	1

Phase 1 — Conviction-Scaled Timing (XYZ macro assets need hours)

Score	Absolute Floor	Hard Timeout	Weak Peak	Dead Weight
8	-20% ROE	360 min	180 min	90 min
10	-25% ROE	480 min	240 min	120 min
12	-30% ROE	600 min	300 min	180 min

Retrace threshold: 12% (vs 8% in crypto agents).

Cron Setup

Cron	Interval	Command
Scanner	5 min	python3 /data/workspace/skills/bald-eagle-strategy/scripts/eagle-scanner.py

One cron only. Scanner handles execution. DSL exit managed by plugin runtime.

Bootstrap Gate

On EVERY session, check config/bootstrap-complete.json. If missing:

1. Read senpi-trading-runtime skill
2. Verify Senpi MCP
3. Set wallet in runtime.yaml
4. Set Telegram in runtime.yaml
5. Install runtime: openclaw senpi runtime create --path /data/workspace/skills/bald-eagle-strategy/runtime.yaml
6. Verify runtime: openclaw senpi runtime list
7. Remove old DSL cron if upgrading
8. Create scanner cron (5 min, main)
9. Write config/bootstrap-complete.json
10. Send: "🦅 BALD EAGLE v3.0 online. XYZ Alpha Hunter — focused assets, conviction-scaled leverage, wide DSL. Silence = no alpha."

Risk

Rule	Value
Max positions	2
Max entries/day	4
Min score	9
Leverage	5-10x (conviction-scaled)
Margin	50% per trade
Spread gate	> 0.1% = rejected
Per-asset cooldown	120 min
Daily loss limit	10%
Stagnation TP	15% ROE stale 4 hours
Allowed assets	CL, BRENTOIL, GOLD, SILVER, SP500, XYZ100

Files

File	Purpose
scripts/eagle-scanner.py	v3.0 XYZ scanner with conviction-scaled leverage
scripts/eagle_config.py	Config helper, MCP, state I/O
config/bald-eagle-config.json	Wallet, strategy ID
runtime.yaml	Plugin runtime (position tracker + RatchetStop)

Changelog

v3.0 (2026-04-06)

• Focused asset list: CL, BRENTOIL, GOLD, SILVER, SP500, XYZ100
• Conviction-scaled leverage: 5x/7x/10x
• Wider DSL: retrace 12%, 360-600 min timeouts
• Maker-only execution (ensureExecutionAsTaker: false)
• Min score raised to 9
• Margin increased to 50%
• Scanner calls create_position internally
• Contribution velocity scoring added
• All hard gates → score contributors (except spread)
• Thesis exit removed

v2.0

• Spread gate, XYZ ban on SNDK, leverage capped 7x

v1.0

• 20x leverage, no spread gate, DSL state bugs → -28.6%