motivated-reasoning-and-belief-perseverance

name	motivated-reasoning-and-belief-perseverance
description	Audits an analytic judgment for motivated reasoning and belief perseverance; invoke when a belief or policy resists discrepant evidence instead of updating.
kind	skill
status	ready
provenance	{"principles":["P014","P016","P021","P026","P027","P036","P041","P048","P070","P074","P075","P076","P077","P095","P107","P113","P114","P115","P135","P141","P167","P169","P173","P193","P194"],"claims":["C00164","C00165","C00166","C00168","C00172","C00173","C00174","C00235","C00236","C00400","C00757","C01130"],"evidence":[],"source_anchors":[],"authored_from_digest":"441e04ff6d4246a092e9cb0958d02acd6664ded575e69e15c7b00388fa71cfab"}

Motivated Reasoning And Belief Perseverance

Purpose

Review whether a judgment, forecast, or policy that isn't changing — or is changing in a lopsided way — reflects a rational, well-earned position or belief perseverance: resistance that persists because updating would cost the holder's self-image, a public commitment, or a comfortable story, rather than because the evidence still supports it. This skill audits the reasoning behind that resistance — whether it is proportionate to the evidence, whether it is a reasoned strong prior or motivated reasoning, and whether the review itself is holding congenial and uncongenial evidence to the same proof standard — not the substantive judgment, forecast, or policy choice itself.