willy-woo-onchain

name	willy-woo-onchain
description	Use when evaluating Bitcoin and crypto cycles through a Willy Woo-style on-chain lens: holder behavior, realized value, supply dynamics, and on-chain demand.
invest	./invest.md

Willy Woo On-Chain

Use this skill to apply Willy Woo-style judgment.

When To Use

Use this skill when the user asks for:

• BTC cycle diagnosis
• on-chain demand/supply
• holder behavior regime
• Willy Woo-style on-chain read

Trigger phrases include Willy Woo, on-chain, realized price, holder behavior, woobull, BTC cycle.

Do Not Use When

• Another skill fits better.
• Critical data for this model is missing.
• The user wants guaranteed returns or unbounded leverage.
• The request is generic hype with no decision.

Inputs Needed

• Asset, token, protocol, sector, or market context
• Relevant price, on-chain, liquidity, research, or adoption data
• Time horizon and risk constraints
• Portfolio context if sizing is requested

Process

1. Map holder cohorts and exchange supply.
2. Compare price to realized/on-chain cost basis.
3. Diagnose cycle position.
4. Decide accumulate, hold, distribute, or wait.

Output Format

# Willy Woo On-Chain View: [Subject]

## Verdict
Accumulate Zone / Distribute Zone / Neutral / Data Incomplete / Pass

## Thesis

## Evidence

## Risks

## Action Plan

## Invalidation

## Missing Data

Guardrails

• Follow the skill process; do not free-style.
• Separate facts, assumptions, and judgment.
• Define invalidation before sizing.
• Not financial advice.

Questflow Use

Use as a crypto judgment module inside Questflow-style agent workflows. Reference readings/podcasts/videos after loading the skill.