| name | trending-market-machine |
| version | 2.0.0 |
| description | Auto-create Baozi Lab prediction markets from trending topics |
| author | TheAuroraAI |
| category | market-creation |
| requires | ["@baozi.bet/mcp-server","@solana/web3.js"] |
| env | [{"SOLANA_RPC_URL":"Solana RPC endpoint (default: mainnet-beta)"},{"SOLANA_PRIVATE_KEY":"JSON array of wallet secret key bytes"},{"DRY_RUN":"Set to 'true' to simulate without creating markets"}] |
Trending Market Machine
The machine never sleeps. If it's trending, there's a market.
An autonomous agent that monitors trending topics across multiple platforms and auto-creates properly-structured Lab prediction markets on Baozi.
What It Does
- Detects trends from 3 sources: CoinGecko (crypto), HackerNews (tech), RSS feeds (news/sports)
- Generates market questions following Baozi Parimutuel Rules v7.0 (Type A only)
- Validates via local rule checks AND the Baozi validation API
- Creates Lab markets on Solana mainnet with proper metadata
- Deduplicates — never creates duplicate markets for the same topic
v7.0 Compliance
All markets are Type A (event-based) only. Type B (measurement-period) markets are banned.
The Core Test: "Can a bettor observe or calculate the likely outcome while betting is still open?"
- YES → BLOCKED
- NO → Allowed
Blocked Terms (auto-rejected): price above, price below, trading volume, market cap, gains most, total volume, total burned, average over, this week, this month, floor price, ATH, TVL
Trend Sources
| Source | Category | Market Types |
|---|
| CoinGecko Trending | Crypto | Mainnet launches, exchange listings, partnerships, governance votes |
| HackerNews | Tech | Product launches, acquisitions, regulatory decisions, IPO filings |
| CoinDesk RSS | Crypto | Protocol upgrades, partnerships |
| TechCrunch RSS | Tech | Product launches, acquisitions |
| ESPN RSS | Sports | Game outcomes, championships |
Market Types Generated
All markets follow the pattern: "Will [specific event] happen before [date]?"
Crypto:
- Mainnet/upgrade launches
- Exchange listings on major CEXs
- Partnership confirmations
- Governance proposal outcomes
Tech/News:
- Product/feature availability
- Acquisition/merger confirmations
- Regulatory/legal decisions
- IPO filings
- Open source release milestones
Sports:
- Game/match outcomes (single point-in-time event)
Commands
bun run detect
bun run validate "Will Ethereum complete the Pectra upgrade before March 2026?"
DRY_RUN=true bun run start
SOLANA_PRIVATE_KEY='[...]' bun run start
bun run start loop
Market Quality Rules
- Type A ONLY — single point-in-time events with genuinely unknowable outcomes
- No price/volume/metric prediction markets (v7.0 banned)
- No duplicate markets (checks existing Baozi markets)
- No subjective outcomes ("Will people like X?" → rejected)
- Closing time ≥ 24h before event (v7.0 requirement)
- Minimum 48h until closing time
- Maximum 14 days until closing
- Must have verifiable data source (tier-1 sources preferred)
- Rate limited to 3 markets/hour
