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SkillsMP hat 70 Skills aus radarist/structured-analytic-skills gesammelt. Öffne einen Skill, um Quelle und Details zu prüfen.
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Decides what to do with a claim that verification could not confirm — drop it, refuse it in plain words, escalate it as a named open question, or report the disagreement between conflicting sources — instead of shipping a hedged guess. Use when verification…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Appraises a systematic review or meta-analysis with AMSTAR 2 (AMSTAR-2; Shea et al., BMJ 2017): answers the 16 checklist items from the review's report, flags flaws in the seven critical domains and derives the overall confidence rating — High, Moderate, Low…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Ranks rival explanations of a question by which one the evidence contradicts least (Heuer's Analysis of Competing Hypotheses — ACH — CIA), then names the single piece of evidence the ranking hinges on. Use when a question has two or more plausible…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Dissects one patent's claim set the way an examiner reads it — independent versus dependent claims, the transitional phrase that fixes the scope (comprising = open, consisting of = closed), the elements of claim 1, the classification codes, and prior-art…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Turns a release note or changelog into a structured record — version and prior version, the SemVer bump, breaking changes and deprecations quoted verbatim, bug-fix count, CVE/GHSA advisories — and rates how much the release should worry a consumer. Use when a…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Places one discontinuous technology on the five phases of Gartner's Hype Cycle — Innovation Trigger, Peak of Inflated Expectations, Trough of Disillusionment, Slope of Enlightenment, Plateau of Productivity — by counting sourced indicators, then reports the…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Reads a scholarly result set for one research area — publication S-curve phase, citation velocity and acceleration, author and institution concentration — and reports a research-front or maturing verdict with the observation that would flip it. Use when asked…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Grades a randomised trial with Cochrane RoB 2 — the five domains of randomization process, deviations from intended interventions, missing outcome data, measurement of the outcome, and selection of the reported result — and emits per-domain and overall…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Works backwards from a desired end state to the present, producing a dated milestone chain, evidenced measure packages, a barrier and lock-in register and a near-term action agenda (Robinson's normative backcasting, Energy Policy, 1982). Use when the goal is…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Revises a stated probability in light of one new piece of evidence using the odds form of Bayes' rule — prior odds × Bayes factor = posterior odds — and reports the posterior in both relative and absolute terms with a sensitivity sweep over the prior and the…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Audits a claim about model or system performance against six integrity domains — test-set contamination, baseline pinning, seed and run variance, evaluator independence, metric selection, and whether the test set is large enough for the reported gap — and…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Scores a set of resolved probabilistic forecasts with the Brier score, decomposes it into reliability, resolution and uncertainty, compares it against the base-rate reference with a Brier Skill Score, and reports a per-bin calibration table showing where the…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Deconstructs an issue through the four levels of Causal Layered Analysis — litany, systemic causes, worldview/discourse, myth/metaphor (Inayatullah, Futures, 1998) — then reconstructs a vertically coherent alternative future, producing a four-layer table,…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Turns a recommendation into its cheapest decisive test — the smallest bounded pilot, its cost and duration, a pass/fail rule fixed before the run, and what each outcome would change — in the spirit of Ries's Lean Startup build-measure-learn loop and MVP. Use…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Checks molecular claims stated in prose — compound name against formula, degree of unsaturation, recomputed molecular weight, and the assessable part of the Lipinski rule of five — and returns a PASS/FAIL verdict per item with the arithmetic shown. Use when a…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Converts a report's sources into IEEE numbered-bracket citations — inline `[1]`, `[1], [4]`, `[2]–[5]` markers numbered by first appearance, plus an end-of-document References list formatted per source type — and checks that the numbering and the list agree.…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Tags every fact-claim in a document inline as either `[validated, {source}]` or `[assumption, retire-by {milestone}]`, so a reader can see at a glance which sentences rest on evidence and which rest on reasoning, and what would convert each assumption into…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Runs a structured self-critique of a finished draft before it is published — ten review points (does it answer the question, is the evidence sourced, is confidence honest, are limitations and counter-evidence stated, are the numbers defensible, is the next…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Builds an N x N cross-impact matrix over a set of events or variables, rating each ordered pair's direct influence, then computes direct-stage MICMAC influence/dependence rankings that separate strategic levers from indicators and flags asymmetric pairs for…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Classifies a decision situation into one of Cynefin's five contexts — Clear, Complicated, Complex, Chaotic or Disorder — and names the matching decision mode, so recommendations are framed as playbooks, expert analysis, safe-to-fail probes or stabilising…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Ranks several options against weighted criteria with a decision matrix / multi-criteria decision analysis (Heuer & Pherson's Decision Matrix; Saaty's AHP pairwise comparisons for the weights, with a consistency check) and reports how robust the winner is to…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Breaks a question too large, vague or multi-part to answer directly into a MECE issue tree of atomic sub-questions — each mapped to the skill or research step that answers it, ordered by dependency, with a named method for recombining the answers. Use when a…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Aggregates independent expert judgments into a consensus estimate — or an honest map of where experts split — with the RAND Delphi method: anonymous panel, iterated rounds, controlled feedback of the group median and interquartile range, and a stability…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Parses a capital-raise announcement into a structured FundingEvent record — company, round stage, amount and currency, dates, lead and participating investors, valuation, use of proceeds, confidence. Use when a news item, press release or search result…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Parses a news article, filing or press release about a change of control into a structured M&A event record — acquirer, target, deal type, consideration, deal value, premium, dates, regulatory jurisdictions, termination fee — and flags deal-structure risks.…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Sizes a market by triangulating two independent estimates — a top-down cut from a larger market and a bottom-up build from buyer counts and revenue per buyer — and reports the TAM/SAM/SOM layer, a range, and whether the two estimates agree within an order of…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Rewrites and lints the likelihood and confidence wording of an assessment against one declared standard — the ODNI ICD 203 estimative-probability terms, the UK PHIA Probability Yardstick, or the IPCC AR5 likelihood scale — converting numbers to calibrated…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Rates how much certainty a body of evidence deserves, outcome by outcome, on the GRADE scale (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation — high, moderate, low, very low), naming the reason behind every downgrade or upgrade and writing…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Tags a named technology, capability or vendor category with its Wardley evolution stage — Genesis, Custom built, Product (+rental) or Commodity (+utility) — anchored in observable evidence, and states the way of working that stage implies. Use when asked "is…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Lays out a staged bet as a decision tree, rolls it back to expected values and prices the information a pilot or test would buy — expected value of perfect information (EVPI), expected value of sample information (EVSI) and a one-way sensitivity (tornado)…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Produces a preregisterable design card for a causal test before any data are collected — a falsifiable hypothesis with a minimum detectable effect, the randomization unit and mechanism, a power-based sample size per arm, a fixed stop rule and analysis plan,…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Assesses the structural profitability of an industry with Porter's Five Forces — entry threat, supplier power, buyer power, substitutes and rivalry — rating each on evidence, naming the one or two forces that actually control profits, and reporting how they…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Produces one dated, falsifiable prediction about a single technology, trend or market shift — the milestone with a date and a confidence, its accelerants and blockers with lead times, weak signals to watch now, kill-signals that would retract it, and a review…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Maps the consequences of one defined change ring by ring — primary, secondary and tertiary impacts, each chained to a named parent with its mechanism — and returns an assessed consequence map with convergence points, a desirable/undesirable valence check and…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Produces a factual answer in which every claim has been independently checked against a source and cited, using Chain-of-Verification (CoVe — Dhuliawala et al., 2023) — the answer ships only with claims that survived verification, plus a list of what could…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Audits the load-bearing specifics of a finished draft before it is published — the qubit counts, market figures, benchmark scores, dates and precedence claims a reader would act on — verifying each against live sources with a neutral query and returning a…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Takes one event judged unlikely but devastating, postulates it has happened, and reasons backwards to the pathways that could produce it — returning the impact, 2–4 distinct pathways with their triggers, observable early-warning indicators, and a…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Runs a horizon scan — a systematic early-warning sweep of sources outside an organisation's usual reading for weak signals and emerging issues — and delivers a prioritised horizon-scanning report with impact/likelihood ratings, verified sources and next steps…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Builds and validates a signpost list — indicators of change — for rival scenarios or hypotheses (Heuer & Pherson's Indicators and Indicators Validator), rating every indicator against every scenario, dropping those that would appear under all of them, and…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Frames a technology, vendor or product comparison around the customer's Job to be Done (JTBD) — a solution-free job statement, Ulwick's desired-outcome metrics, the competing solutions a customer could hire (including non-consumption) and the struggling…
Quellsprache: Englisch