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SkillsMP hat 8 Skills aus romainsimon/skills-for-decision-making gesammelt. Öffne einen Skill, um Quelle und Details zu prüfen.
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Turns past decisions into calibrated judgment - scoring old predictions against what happened, assigning credit for delayed results, and separating a bad decision from a good decision that lost. Use during a retrospective, postmortem, quarterly or monthly…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Splits scarce time, budget or traffic across competing products, channels, campaigns or variants by treating them as a multi-armed bandit - Thompson sampling over beta posteriors, with optimism for anything not yet tried enough to judge. Use when deciding…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Turns a vague "what should we do about X" into a scored decision - explicit actions, an explicit unknown, an explicit prior, and one utility scale - then picks by maximum expected utility and checks the result for framing effects. Use when facing a choice…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Decides how far ahead to plan, what to discount future payoffs by, and which backlog items can be dropped without analysis - using receding-horizon planning, an explicit discount factor, and branch-and-bound pruning against the incumbent. Use when building a…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Models what a competitor will do next and what happens if you respond - best response, equilibrium, and the difference between a rival who optimises perfectly and one who does not. Use before a price change or price war, when a competitor launches something,…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Validates a plan before committing to it - checks whether the ranking survives the assumptions, finds the most likely way it fails, and makes the trade-offs explicit via a Pareto frontier instead of an invented single score. Use before a launch, price change,…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Separates signal from noise in metrics you cannot observe directly, updating a belief from evidence instead of reacting to the latest reading - Bayesian updates over competing explanations, and a filter that says whether this week's move is real. Use when a…
Quellsprache: Englisch
Prices research, tests, surveys, dashboards and experiments before running them, by computing how much the result would raise expected utility - which is zero whenever no outcome would change the decision. Use when someone proposes an A/B test, user survey,…
Quellsprache: Englisch